Don’t Bet On It (NCAA Football)
How’s this for alliteration: Lady Luck loves Les and lives in Louisiana.
Even LSU coach Les Miles isn’t sure how his “damn strong football team” ended up so damn lucky. Not only is coach Miles playing for the BCS title against Jim Tressel and his Ohio State pedigree, but he’s doing it roughly 80 miles from his own front door with the first ever college football team to end up in a BCS Championship after two losses.
But what’s done is done, and even though Georgia is still griping about how they aren’t in New Orleans right now, the lineup isn’t going to change.
LSU vs. Ohio State is going to be a damn fine football game. LSU is the early favorite, but there aren’t any prominent advantages on either side. Neither one of these teams are infallible. Illinois knows that about Ohio State; both Kentucky and Arkansas know it about LSU.
Tressel and Miles know it about each other, too. They’re the Ying and the Yang of football philosophy. In fact, I suspect the reason why LSU is favored has everything to do with geography and nothing to do with ability.
How else could the No. 1 ranked Buckeyes, who are making their second straight BCS Championship appearance and only have one loss to a surprisingly adept Illinois team, play second fiddle to a No. 2 ranked team with two losses? I thought the BCS system was numbers game. Those numbers don’t add up.
The only reason why a favorite has to be picked in this game is for the bookies. Otherwise, the very notion of calling Ohio State an underdog here is lunacy—and it doesn’t mean squat.
If it’s true that defense and experience wins championships, then Ohio State has an edge. The Buckeyes have allowed only 222.5 yards per game this season, limited seven teams to single digits in points, and held 11 teams at two touchdowns or less. Plus Ohio State’s defense against the run is scary good.
So it’s too bad for Tressel that LSU has such a deep receiving corps.
If anything can permeate an impermeable offense, it’s speed. And LSU is up to their eyeballs in that. The Tigers’ two-quarterback system of Matt Flynn and Ryan Perrilloux seems tailored to shred a defense like Ohio State’s.
Flynn racked up 2,233 yards and 17 touchdowns this year, but his sedentary style won’t cause as many problems for Ohio as Perrilloux will. Perrilloux’s numbers might not be as impressive, but his Kordell Stewart impersonation certainly is.
Perriloux’s run and gun style of play is something Ohio State usually has trouble with, and since LSU will be playing both of them, Tressel is going to have to prep his defense twice.
But there’s a pitfall in discussing LSU’s offense and Ohio State’s defense that forces people to forget about Buckeye QB Todd Boeckman’s 1,463 yards with 14 touchdowns, and WR Brian Robiskie with 885 receiving yards and 10 TDs, and even RB Chris Wells with 1,463 yards and 14 touchdowns.
That group will tax the Tiger defense, and comparatively, that’s LSU’s biggest problem. Don’t get me wrong. LSU has some talented defensive players that make up the 20th ranked defense in the nation, and Glenn Dorsey is an amazing defensive tackle, but you’re out of your bean if you think LSU has a better overall defense than Ohio State.
And you’re also out of your bean if you think either one of these teams is a clear-cut underdog.
If you have to bet money on this game, make sure it’s someone else’s.
–Joey Alfino, RED Editorial Staff

